Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Ricky Simon
59%
41%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
25
Age
Δ 5y
31
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
23-7-1
L1
Current streak
W5
11
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Yadong: 105 sig / 0 TD ·
Simon: 60 sig / 2 TD
Song Yadong
Ricky Simon
56
Sig strikes landed
48
127
Sig strikes attempted
126
70
Total strikes landed
64
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
42s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
23-10-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W5
Ricky Simon
23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—