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Main Flyweight

Sim Kai Xiong vs Peter Danesoe

Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Sim Kai Xiong
Peter Danesoe
56% 44%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
26
Age
Δ 3y
23

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kai Xiong: 14 sig / 2 TD · Danesoe: 20 sig / 0 TD
Sim Kai Xiong
Peter Danesoe
32
Sig strikes landed
35
66
Sig strikes attempted
77
46
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
164s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sim Kai Xiong

"Kobra"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Peter Danesoe

"The Asian Viking"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23