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Main Flyweight

Mark Climaco vs JungHyun Lee

Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Mark Climaco
JungHyun Lee
51% 49%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
26
Age
Δ 5y
21

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Climaco: 93 sig / 6 TD · Lee: 64 sig / 0 TD
Mark Climaco
JungHyun Lee
34
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
73
51
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mark Climaco

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner

JungHyun Lee

"The Phenom"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21