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Main Featherweight

Keisuke Sasu vs SangWon Kim

Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Keisuke Sasu
SangWon Kim
68% 32%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sasu: 19 sig / 3 TD · Kim: 26 sig / 0 TD
Keisuke Sasu
SangWon Kim
28
Sig strikes landed
31
52
Sig strikes attempted
58
47
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Keisuke Sasu

"Sasuke"
12-3-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W Road to UFC 1.5
—
L Road to UFC 1.1
—
Blue corner

SangWon Kim

"No Problem"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30