Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Marina Rodriguez vs Virna Jandiroba
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Marina Rodriguez
Virna Jandiroba
35%
65%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
17-7-2
Career record
Δ 20 pp
24-4
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Jandiroba: 27 sig / 3 TD
Marina Rodriguez
Virna Jandiroba
49
Sig strikes landed
45
98
Sig strikes attempted
102
71
Total strikes landed
76
0.0
Takedowns landed
2.4
0.2
Takedowns attempted
7.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
32s
Control time
273s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marina Rodriguez
17-7-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
Blue corner
W1
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
24-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—