Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Bo Nickal
Val Woodburn
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nickal: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Woodburn: 2 sig / 0 TD
Bo Nickal
Val Woodburn
31
Sig strikes landed
27
71
Sig strikes attempted
52
53
Total strikes landed
33
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
227s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bo Nickal
9-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
Val Woodburn
"The Animal"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30