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Edson Barboza vs Billy Quarantillo

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen ·T-Mobile Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Billy Quarantillo
45% 55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
37
Age
Δ 3y
34
24-15
Career record
Δ 12 pp
19-7
L2
Current streak
W1
27
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Barboza: 21 sig / 0 TD · Quarantillo: 19 sig / 0 TD
Edson Barboza
Billy Quarantillo
71
Sig strikes landed
53
142
Sig strikes attempted
113
90
Total strikes landed
95
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
51s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Edson Barboza

"Junior"
24-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 27 fights · 16-11
Last 5
L UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
Blue corner
W1

Billy Quarantillo

19-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—