Prelims1
Flyweight
Victor Altamirano vs Vinicius Salvador
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Victor Altamirano
Vinicius Salvador
52%
48%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Altamirano: 62 sig / 3 TD ·
Salvador: 47 sig / 1 TD
Victor Altamirano
Vinicius Salvador
50
Sig strikes landed
41
91
Sig strikes attempted
89
66
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
Vinicius Salvador
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27