Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Andre Muniz
Brendan Allen
44%
56%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
25-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
27-7
W5
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Muniz: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Allen: 42 sig / 1 TD
Andre Muniz
Brendan Allen
17
Sig strikes landed
29
45
Sig strikes attempted
62
34
Total strikes landed
42
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
181s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
25-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W3
Brendan Allen
"All In"
27-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—