Main
Women's Flyweight
Jessica Andrade vs Erin Blanchfield
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Erin Blanchfield
37%
63%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
31
Age
Δ 8y
24
27-15
Career record
Δ 24 pp
15-2
W3
Current streak
W4
22
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Andrade: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Blanchfield: 51 sig / 1 TD
Jessica Andrade
Erin Blanchfield
58
Sig strikes landed
56
108
Sig strikes attempted
124
74
Total strikes landed
84
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
87s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
22 fights · 15-7
Last 5
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
Blue corner
W4
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
15-2
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—