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Nazim Sadykhov vs Evan Elder

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Nazim Sadykhov
Evan Elder
57% 43%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 3
Sadykhov: 64 sig / 1 TD · Elder: 70 sig / 1 TD
Nazim Sadykhov
Evan Elder
40
Sig strikes landed
32
70
Sig strikes attempted
65
59
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Nazim Sadykhov

"Black Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Evan Elder

"The Phenom"
10-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
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