Back to UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Cameron Saaiman vs Steven Koslow

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Cameron Saaiman
Steven Koslow
66% 34%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
22
Age
Δ 4y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Saaiman: 53 sig / 0 TD · Koslow: 11 sig / 5 TD
Cameron Saaiman
Steven Koslow
36
Sig strikes landed
35
76
Sig strikes attempted
74
55
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Cameron Saaiman

"MSP"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22
Blue corner

Steven Koslow

"Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
26