Prelims2
Featherweight
Billy Quarantillo vs Alexander Hernandez
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Billy Quarantillo
Alexander Hernandez
61%
39%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-10
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Quarantillo: 87 sig / 2 TD ·
Hernandez: 48 sig / 2 TD
Billy Quarantillo
Alexander Hernandez
59
Sig strikes landed
56
104
Sig strikes attempted
116
91
Total strikes landed
69
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
175s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Billy Quarantillo
18-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—