Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Roman Dolidze
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Roman Dolidze
66%
34%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
25-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
16-5
W1
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hermansson: 47 sig / 2 TD ·
Dolidze: 25 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Roman Dolidze
49
Sig strikes landed
37
103
Sig strikes attempted
93
63
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
184s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
25-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner
W3
Roman Dolidze
16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—