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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Natalia Silva vs Tereza Bleda

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Natalia Silva
Tereza Bleda
69% 31%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
26
Age
Δ 5y
21
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Silva: 45 sig / 0 TD · Bleda: 18 sig / 1 TD
Natalia Silva
Tereza Bleda
49
Sig strikes landed
51
93
Sig strikes attempted
126
87
Total strikes landed
74
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
172s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Natalia Silva

21-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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Blue corner

Tereza Bleda

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21