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Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Ion Cutelaba

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Ion Cutelaba
65% 35%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 8"
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
29
15-6-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-12-1
W1
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nzechukwu: 24 sig / 0 TD · Cutelaba: 9 sig / 2 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Ion Cutelaba
46
Sig strikes landed
33
90
Sig strikes attempted
67
65
Total strikes landed
40
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
126s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

"Chosen"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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L UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
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L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
L2

Ion Cutelaba

"The Hulk"
20-12-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 13 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
D UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—