Main
Welterweight
Jack Della Maddalena vs Danny Roberts
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jack Della Maddalena
Danny Roberts
84%
16%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
26
Age
Δ 9y
35
19-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
18-9
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Della Maddalena: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Roberts: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jack Della Maddalena
Danny Roberts
46
Sig strikes landed
29
84
Sig strikes attempted
77
46
Total strikes landed
32
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.70
Knockdowns
0.00
47s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jack Della Maddalena
19-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L1
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—