Back to UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Tamires Vidal vs Ramona Pascual

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tamires Vidal
Ramona Pascual
75% 25%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
24
Age
Δ 10y
34
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Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Vidal: 17 sig / 0 TD · Pascual: 13 sig / 0 TD
Tamires Vidal
Ramona Pascual
51
Sig strikes landed
42
92
Sig strikes attempted
80
83
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Tamires Vidal

"Tractor"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
L2

Ramona Pascual

6-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
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L UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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