Back to UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Polyana Viana vs Jinh Yu Frey

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Polyana Viana
Jinh Yu Frey
74% 26%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
30
Age
Δ 7y
38
13-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-11
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Viana: 11 sig / 0 TD · Frey: 6 sig / 0 TD
Polyana Viana
Jinh Yu Frey
39
Sig strikes landed
35
81
Sig strikes attempted
62
65
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
127s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Polyana Viana

"Dama de Ferro"
13-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
Blue corner
L1

Jinh Yu Frey

11-11
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—