Main
Middleweight
Cody Brundage vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cody Brundage
Michal Oleksiejczuk
32%
68%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
13-9-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
23-9
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brundage: 0 sig / 3 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 15 sig / 0 TD
Cody Brundage
Michal Oleksiejczuk
24
Sig strikes landed
28
56
Sig strikes attempted
55
35
Total strikes landed
34
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
88s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cody Brundage
13-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
23-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—