Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Sergey Morozov vs Journey Newson

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sergey Morozov
Journey Newson
79% 21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
20-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morozov: 30 sig / 6 TD · Newson: 26 sig / 0 TD
Sergey Morozov
Journey Newson
45
Sig strikes landed
33
91
Sig strikes attempted
81
71
Total strikes landed
52
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
287s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sergey Morozov

20-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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L UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
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W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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Blue corner
W1

Journey Newson

11-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
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