Back to UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Christian Rodriguez vs Joshua Weems

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Christian Rodriguez
Joshua Weems
64% 36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
25
Age
Δ 4y
28
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Rodriguez: 9 sig / 0 TD · Weems: 18 sig / 2 TD
Christian Rodriguez
Joshua Weems
31
Sig strikes landed
37
65
Sig strikes attempted
73
50
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
131s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Christian Rodriguez

"Ceerod"
12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
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Blue corner

Joshua Weems

"Wide Open"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29