Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Carlos Ulberg vs Nicolae Negumereanu
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Carlos Ulberg
Nicolae Negumereanu
56%
44%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
16-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-2
W2
Current streak
W4
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ulberg: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Negumereanu: 2 sig / 0 TD
Carlos Ulberg
Nicolae Negumereanu
45
Sig strikes landed
42
80
Sig strikes attempted
94
52
Total strikes landed
50
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.0
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
55s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W4
Nicolae Negumereanu
14-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—