Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Darian Weeks
Yohan Lainesse
47%
53%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
5-4
Career record
Δ 14 pp
9-4
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Weeks: 44 sig / 1 TD ·
Lainesse: 23 sig / 0 TD
Darian Weeks
Yohan Lainesse
44
Sig strikes landed
63
80
Sig strikes attempted
114
62
Total strikes landed
73
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
151s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Darian Weeks
5-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
Blue corner
L1
Yohan Lainesse
"White Lion"
9-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—