Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Roybert Echeverria
Jafel Filho
46%
54%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Echeverria: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Filho: 29 sig / 2 TD
Roybert Echeverria
Jafel Filho
33
Sig strikes landed
41
72
Sig strikes attempted
82
42
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
131s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Roybert Echeverria
"The Unbroken"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
Blue corner
Jafel Filho
"Pastor"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29