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Main Bantamweight

Farid Basharat vs Allan Begosso

DWCS 6.8 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Farid Basharat
Allan Begosso
82% 18%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Basharat: 116 sig / 3 TD · Begosso: 27 sig / 0 TD
Farid Basharat
Allan Begosso
41
Sig strikes landed
30
82
Sig strikes attempted
64
79
Total strikes landed
39
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Farid Basharat

"Ferocious"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Allan Begosso

"Mini"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27