Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Rodolfo Bellato
67%
33%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Petrino: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Bellato: 18 sig / 1 TD
Vitor Petrino
Rodolfo Bellato
35
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
71
51
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
119s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Vitor Petrino
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Rodolfo Bellato
"Trator"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27