Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Karol Rosa vs Lina Lansberg
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Karol Rosa
Lina Lansberg
91%
9%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
28
Age
Δ 13y
41
19-8
Career record
Δ 18 pp
10-9
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Rosa: 54 sig / 3 TD ·
Lansberg: 36 sig / 0 TD
Karol Rosa
Lina Lansberg
49
Sig strikes landed
43
103
Sig strikes attempted
94
114
Total strikes landed
81
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
283s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Karol Rosa
19-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
L2
Lina Lansberg
"Elbow Queen"
10-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—