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Nikolas Motta vs Cameron VanCamp

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Nikolas Motta
Cameron VanCamp
56% 44%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
30
Age
Δ 0y
29
15-7
Career record
Δ 6 pp
15-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Motta: 24 sig / 0 TD · VanCamp: 15 sig / 0 TD
Nikolas Motta
Cameron VanCamp
26
Sig strikes landed
34
52
Sig strikes attempted
61
45
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.50
140s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nikolas Motta

"Iron"
15-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
L1

Cameron VanCamp

"Jumpman"
15-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—