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Main Heavyweight

Mick Parkin vs Eduardo Neves

DWCS 6.5 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Mick Parkin
Eduardo Neves
61% 39%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
27
Age
Δ 4y
22

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Parkin: 7 sig / 2 TD · Neves: 16 sig / 2 TD
Mick Parkin
Eduardo Neves
36
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
65
53
Total strikes landed
46
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mick Parkin

0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Eduardo Neves

"Bebezao"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22