Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sandra Lavado
Karolina Wojcik
56%
44%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lavado: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Wojcik: 40 sig / 2 TD
Sandra Lavado
Karolina Wojcik
38
Sig strikes landed
35
85
Sig strikes attempted
75
69
Total strikes landed
68
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sandra Lavado
"Peruvian Zombie"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Karolina Wojcik
"Polish Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28