Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dennis Buzukja
Kaleio Romero
69%
31%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
25
Age
Δ 2y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Buzukja: 49 sig / 1 TD ·
Romero: 39 sig / 1 TD
Dennis Buzukja
Kaleio Romero
45
Sig strikes landed
43
87
Sig strikes attempted
96
61
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
175s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dennis Buzukja
"The Great"
12-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 4.5
—
Blue corner
Kaleio Romero
"KO"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
26