Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Nicolae Negumereanu vs Ihor Potieria
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Nicolae Negumereanu
Ihor Potieria
52%
48%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
W3
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Negumereanu: 51 sig / 2 TD ·
Potieria: 38 sig / 0 TD
Nicolae Negumereanu
Ihor Potieria
34
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
84
50
Total strikes landed
51
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
153s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Nicolae Negumereanu
14-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
Blue corner
Ihor Potieria
"Duelist"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26