🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Julianna Pena vs Amanda Nunes
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes
36%
64%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
14-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-6
W2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Pena: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 85 sig / 6 TD
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes
44
Sig strikes landed
65
100
Sig strikes attempted
119
72
Total strikes landed
105
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
119s
Control time
258s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
L1
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
16 fights · 14-2
Last 5
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—