Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
JeongYeong Lee
Xie Bin
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
27
Age
Δ 2y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lee: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Bin: 2 sig / 1 TD
JeongYeong Lee
Xie Bin
36
Sig strikes landed
38
78
Sig strikes attempted
78
49
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
JeongYeong Lee
"Korean Tiger"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Xie Bin
"The Stalker"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24