Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Jinh Yu Frey
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Jinh Yu Frey
64%
36%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 6"
65"
34
Age
Δ 3y
37
12-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
12-10
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Demopoulos: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Frey: 62 sig / 0 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Jinh Yu Frey
43
Sig strikes landed
45
93
Sig strikes attempted
92
75
Total strikes landed
72
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
171s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
12-8
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jinh Yu Frey
12-10
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—