Prelims1
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese vs Damir Hadzovic
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marc Diakiese
Damir Hadzovic
76%
24%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
18-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-8
W1
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diakiese: 13 sig / 8 TD ·
Hadzovic: 5 sig / 0 TD
Marc Diakiese
Damir Hadzovic
41
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
83
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
207s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
Blue corner
W1
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
15-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—