Prelims1
Middleweight
Roman Dolidze vs Kyle Daukaus
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
·Moody Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Kyle Daukaus
41%
59%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
16-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-4
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dolidze: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Daukaus: 4 sig / 0 TD
Roman Dolidze
Kyle Daukaus
29
Sig strikes landed
30
59
Sig strikes attempted
63
52
Total strikes landed
51
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
185s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roman Dolidze
16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kyle Daukaus
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—