Prelims1
Middleweight
Nick Maximov vs Andre Petroski
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nick Maximov
Andre Petroski
63%
37%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
24
Age
Δ 6y
31
9-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-6
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Maximov: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Petroski: 1 sig / 0 TD
Nick Maximov
Andre Petroski
25
Sig strikes landed
31
46
Sig strikes attempted
56
35
Total strikes landed
61
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
53s
Control time
194s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
57%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nick Maximov
9-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W2
Andre Petroski
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—