Main
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakic
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Aleksandar Rakic
66%
34%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
39
Age
Δ 9y
30
29-12-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
W2
17
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Blachowicz: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Rakic: 27 sig / 1 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Aleksandar Rakic
46
Sig strikes landed
48
102
Sig strikes attempted
108
59
Total strikes landed
67
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.2
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
61s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jan Blachowicz
29-12-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
17 fights · 11-6
Last 5
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
15-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—