Main
Welterweight
Andre Fialho vs Jake Matthews
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Andre Fialho
Jake Matthews
42%
58%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
17-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-9
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Fialho: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Matthews: 47 sig / 0 TD
Andre Fialho
Jake Matthews
38
Sig strikes landed
45
82
Sig strikes attempted
89
45
Total strikes landed
62
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.6
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
18s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Andre Fialho
17-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L1
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
23-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—