Main
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Weili
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
79%
21%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
26-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
16-6
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Weili: 69 sig / 3 TD ·
Jedrzejczyk: 43 sig / 0 TD
Zhang Weili
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
80
Sig strikes landed
79
169
Sig strikes attempted
145
107
Total strikes landed
100
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
182s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
26-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
Blue corner
L1
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
L
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—