Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Omar Morales
Uros Medic
37%
63%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
37
Age
Δ 8y
29
11-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Morales: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Medic: 47 sig / 0 TD
Omar Morales
Uros Medic
29
Sig strikes landed
37
67
Sig strikes attempted
75
42
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
74s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Omar Morales
"Venezuelan Fighter"
11-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
Blue corner
L1
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
13-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—