Prelims1
Heavyweight
Blagoy Ivanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
·Footprint Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Blagoy Ivanov
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
57%
43%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
36
Age
Δ 1y
37
19-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-10-1
L2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ivanov: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Rogerio de Lima: 68 sig / 1 TD
Blagoy Ivanov
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
29
Sig strikes landed
36
74
Sig strikes attempted
81
47
Total strikes landed
51
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—