Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dean Barry
Mike Jackson
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
DQ · Round 1
Barry: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Jackson: 18 sig / 0 TD
Dean Barry
Mike Jackson
29
Sig strikes landed
25
58
Sig strikes attempted
57
55
Total strikes landed
41
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
195s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Dean Barry
"The Sniper"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1
Mike Jackson
"The Truth"
1-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
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