Main
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos vs Jessica Andrade
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Jessica Andrade
48%
52%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
62"
35
Age
Δ 4y
31
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
27-15
W5
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lemos: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Andrade: 3 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Lemos
Jessica Andrade
47
Sig strikes landed
50
90
Sig strikes attempted
96
57
Total strikes landed
72
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
60s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
Blue corner
W1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
20 fights · 13-7
Last 5
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—