Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Jamahal Hill
68%
32%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
22-11
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Walker: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Hill: 6 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Walker
Jamahal Hill
29
Sig strikes landed
21
68
Sig strikes attempted
45
36
Total strikes landed
32
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
65s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Johnny Walker
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
Blue corner
W1
Jamahal Hill
"Sweet Dreams"
13-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—