Prelims1
Featherweight
Luis Saldana vs Bruno Souza
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
·Nationwide Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Luis Saldana
Bruno Souza
58%
42%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
16-8-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Saldana: 84 sig / 2 TD ·
Souza: 66 sig / 1 TD
Luis Saldana
Bruno Souza
60
Sig strikes landed
52
137
Sig strikes attempted
128
83
Total strikes landed
67
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Luis Saldana
16-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
L1
Bruno Souza
"The Tiger"
10-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—