🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Israel Adesanya vs Robert Whittaker
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Israel Adesanya
Robert Whittaker
61%
39%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
25-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
28-9
W1
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Adesanya: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Whittaker: 59 sig / 4 TD
Israel Adesanya
Robert Whittaker
87
Sig strikes landed
72
178
Sig strikes attempted
168
86
Total strikes landed
83
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
42s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
25-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 10-1
Last 5
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W3
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
17 fights · 14-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—