Prelims1
Featherweight
Brian Kelleher vs Kevin Croom
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brian Kelleher
Kevin Croom
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 8"
74"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
25-16
Career record
Δ 4 pp
21-16
W1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kelleher: 38 sig / 6 TD ·
Croom: 60 sig / 0 TD
Brian Kelleher
Kevin Croom
36
Sig strikes landed
32
75
Sig strikes attempted
78
71
Total strikes landed
64
3.0
Takedowns landed
3.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
172s
Control time
302s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
25-16
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kevin Croom
"Crash"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—